It'll be interesting to see if the Bengals stick to their strengths (passing game) or if they adjust their play calling and try to just pound the softest rush defense in the world. StatShark expects the Bengals to run slightly more than their average, but nothing drastic. Carson Palmer is forecasted for 250 yds and right around 2 TDs. The Colts know they have to score to win. Peyton Manning is passing for more yards than Cincinnati 270, but is averaging slightly fewer TDs than Palmer. Until recently the Bengals had their own problems stopping the run. The Colts are getting a strong performance from Joseph Addai (over 5 ypc) and around 1 TD. The rookie's good game lifts the Colts to a close win in 53% of simulations.